Here we go again with the Denver Broncos in primetime… great. Lately it’s been a dominant strategy to short everyone in these national games, but hopefully tonight there’s a little more balance!
The bright side is the Broncos are playing Justin Herbert’s Los Angeles Chargers and there is a lot of potential to have your Mojo Portfolio in the green after tonight.
To make tonight as exciting as possible, let’s pick two players to Go Long on, two players to short - and, as always, definitely recommend Multipliers to make all of these trades more exciting. (For example, Cooper Rush was down 11% after the Cowboys loss in Sunday Night Football, so if you had gone Short on him with the 2x Multiplier like The Sporty Jordy did, you’d be up 22% in one evening.)
Go Long: Brett Rypien $1.08 (1.5x Long Multiplier)
Realistically, this investment will probably be down slightly at the end of the night, so why does this trade make sense? Russell Wilson hurt his shoulder last week. He’ll play through the injury, but in the event that the injury is aggravated, all Rypien has to do to spike is step on the field. As we have seen all season, backup QBs have been a dominant strategy on Mojo with unbalanced risk/reward. Until the market corrects, it’s time to put backup QBs in your portfolio.
Short: Albert Okwuegbunam $4.11 (No multiplier available)
“Albert O” has been a Twitter darling for years on account of his speed and size (how does a 4.49 from a 6’6” tight end sound to you?). Undeniably he has the most upside of any TE on the Broncos roster. So why is he a short candidate? For two consecutive weeks he has been last on the roster in snaps. Three different Broncos tight ends have outsnapped him, including a two snap performance in Week 4. How is this man supposed to reach $3.34 Future Mojo Value if he only has $0.77 Banked Mojo Value in his career and the Broncos don’t seem to like him?
Go Long: Courtland Sutton $13.94 (6x Long Multiplier)
Finally, a nice Multiplier for some juicy returns. Sutton is up a modest 4.8% over the last month and is priced well below inferior receiving options such as Jarvis Landry, Christian Kirk, Allen Robinson. The market is underrating not only how good Sutton has been (417 yards, 1 touchdown), but also how much “meat on the bone” he’s left in Weeks 1 through 5. Heading into this week, Sutton was 3rd in the NFL in air yards, which means he is getting lots of high value, downfield opportunities to pick up Mojo Value via touchdowns, yards, first downs and explosive plays (see below). When he starts converting those opportunities closer to a typical rate, the smash weeks will come. The Broncos will need to keep pace with Herbert’s high-octane offense, which means more opportunities for Sutton to smash.