Mojo Case Study: Miami Dolphins QBs Weeks 1 - 8

Who? Tua Tagovailoa, Teddy Bridgewater, Skylar Thompson

Summary All three Dolphins QBs could have yielded big returns by both Going Long and Going Short depending on when you traded.

When? Sep 8, 2022 through Nov 2, 2022

Nov. 2 Stock Price Results

• Tagovailoa (+28%, +141% with Long Multiplier)
• Bridgewater (+8%, +80% with Long Multiplier)
• Thompson (+51%, +102% with Long Multiplier)

What happened?

Sep 8

• Blessed with offensive talent, ‘22 is make or break for Tagovailoa
• Bridgewater is on a one-year contract. It’s unclear if he will ever be a starter again
• Thompson was drafted in the 7th round and is not expected to see time, absent multiple injuries. It’s unclear if he will stick in the NFL

Sep 25

• Tagovailoa (+37%, +185% with Long Multiplier since 9/8) leads the league in passer rating and passing yards. Dolphins are 3-0. Optimism that he has become a franchise QB pushes up share price. The market shakes off what appears to be a possible concussion in Week 3 since Tagovailoa finishes the game.

Sep 30

• Tagovailoa (-24%, +71% with Short Multiplier since 9/25) suffers a serious concussion. His stock dips considerably because of concern for his long-term health
• Bridgewater (+26%, +264% with Long Multiplier since 9/8) enters in relief of Tagovailoa. His price is pushed up by the opportunity to start indefinitely

Oct 9

• Bridgewater (-1%, +5% with Short Multiplier since 9/30) suffers an injury. He is replaced by Thompson
• Thompson (+11%, +22% with Long Multiplier since 9/8) comes on in relief and nearly leads the Dolphins to a victory

Oct 14

• Tagovailoa (+8.6%%, +43% with Long Multiplier since 9/25) returns to practice. The news boosts his stock price

Oct 23

• Tagovailoa (+5%, +23% with Long Multiplier since 10/14) returns for Week 7

Oct 30:

• Tagovailoa (+8%, +41% with Long Multiplier from 10/23) erupts in second game back from injury (382 passing yards and three TDs)

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All numbers were rounded for simplicity. Below are the one year price graphs for all three Miami Dolphins quarterbacks, which includes a movement over a period of time examined before the Case Study begins.

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