We’ve got just one week left in the regular season. Some teams are jockeying for playoff positioning, while others are hoping to collect more ping pong balls for the NBA Lottery. There’s no better time than now to start looking at player stock prices as the regular season comes to a close. The best part, you can buy and sell whenever you want. Go Long if you think a player’s stock price will rise in the future and Go Short if you think it’ll fall.
For those that are new here, Mojo is the Sports Stock Market that lets you bet on your favorite athletes. It started with the NFL and the NBA market has been in full swing for a couple months! You can either bet on a player’s career or on their Single-Game Props, an all-new feature for big volatility on a nightly basis. There are so many ways to win betting on all of your favorite players.
In this article, we’ll touch on three players that have been very productive down the stretch that you should consider taking a Long position on before the end of the regular season. These guys have been lighting it up and are somehow still undervalued by the Mojo market.
After reading the article, let me know if you agree. You can hit me up anytime on Twitter @AdamKoffler to talk about it.
Murphy has been ballin’ since the All-Star Break, and his share price has risen as a result. In fact, it’s up 24% in the last month.
Per Hashtag Basketball, he’s ranked as the 17th-best player in fantasy basketball over the last 30 days. During that stretch, he’s averaged 19.6 points, 3.6 rebounds, 1.6 assists, 1.4 steals, 0.9 blocks, and just 0.9 turnovers in 35.9 minutes per game. He’s shooting 52.1% FG and 91.3% FT while draining 4.0 threes per contest. His game is tailor-made for both fantasy basketball and subsequently for Mojo.
As a reminder, players accrue earnings based on real-life performance. Here’s the Mojo value formula for NBA career stocks:
The jump we’ve seen Murphy take from his rookie season to his sophomore season has been nothing short of immaculate. As a rookie, he averaged just 5.4 points, 2.4 rebounds, and 0.6 assists in 14 minutes per contest.
Young guys that become that efficient that quickly are often set up for a long career of success in the NBA. Sure, Zion Williamson will return at some point, whether it be this season or next, but that won’t stop Murphy from becoming a dominant “3 and D” guy in the NBA. In fact, he already has become that guy.
Go Long now and hold his stock for a long, long time. He’s got “it” and he’s going to be a fun player to watch for a long time. Currently, he’s valued similarly to Jordan Poole, an inefficient scorer that doesn’t do much outside of scoring the basketball. Also, don’t forget to use Murphy’s unique 3x Multiplier to increase your return on investment.
Maxey has been consistently very good over the last two seasons and has ramped up his play over the last 30 days with James Harden missing some time due to injury. In fact, Maxey is the 28th-ranked player in fantasy basketball in the last month due to his ability to stuff the stat sheet.
In 13 games without Harden this season, Maxey has averaged 24.8 PTS, 3.8 REB, 5.4 AST, and 1.1 STL in 35.3 MPG. On the season, he’s turning it over just 1.3 times per game and is close to being a 50/40/90 guy (50% FG, 40% 3PT, 90% FT). And while Harden is still on the team today, there are questions as to whether or not he'll be back next season. If he were to leave, Maxey’s usage would skyrocket and that could push his share price up.
Believe it or not, Maxey’s share price has been largely steady since his breakout last season. In fact, it’s down about 5% in the last year. His Future Value sits at $123.46. In comparison, Darius Garland’s Future Value is $172.34.
Garland’s game isn’t as well-suited for fantasy basketball or Mojo, yet somehow his stock price is $57.82 higher than Maxey’s. He shoots a lower percentage, makes half the three-pointers, and turns the ball over more than twice the amount that Maxey does.
Both Maxey and Garland will have great opportunities to showcase their stuff in the playoffs, but Maxey has a path to volume while Garland’s role is seemingly maxed out. Donovan Mitchell could be in Cleveland for a long time given the length of his contract and how well he’s fit their system this season. Go Long on Maxey now and watch his stock continue to grow. Much like with Murphy, take advantage of that 3x Multiplier.
Okongwu is extremely slept on, but he’s got a very advantageous game for both Mojo and fantasy basketball. The only thing he doesn’t do is shoot threes, but neither do many big men nor his frontcourt mate and direct competitor for playing time, Clint Capela.
Capela’s share price is $63.36 higher than Okongwu, but why? Okongwu finds himself on a similar trajectory, but shoots a higher percentage from the free throw line and collects a higher number of steals and blocks per-36 minutes than Capela. Even now, with their differences in age and efficiency, Capela’s Future Value is comparable to Okongwu’s!
Over the last 30 days, Okongwu is the 55th-ranked player in fantasy basketball. He’s done that while averaging just 20.3 minutes per game. Okongwu has put together some dominant performances and seems to be on the verge of a breakout at any moment. As a result of those performances, his stock price has jumped 24% since January.
But it’s still not high enough! Just imagine the kind of numbers he’ll put up with 28+ minutes per game. It’s coming, and for that reason, it’s time to bet on him now.
There’s no way Aaron Gordon, a 9-year vet who’s nothing more than a role player at this point in his career, should have a Future Value greater than Okongwu!
That’s not to say Gordon isn’t a good player, or that he hasn’t had a very solid career to this point, but there’s a clear market inefficiency here with Okongwu’s stock price. Take advantage. Go Long now and use that sweet 2x Multiplier.