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Preparing for the Offseason on Mojo
Preparing for the Offseason on Mojo

Associated Press

February 6, 2023

Mojo is a sports stock market that allows you to bet on the careers of athletes. The share price is like a traditional "line" in Vegas, but instead of a stat like total touchdowns, you're betting on career stats! 

Share prices move in real-time, just like sports betting lines, based on performance, news and the market signals from YOU, such as taking the over (Go Long) or under (Go Short) on a stock. Mojo uses a stock market interface to enable users to trade in and out of their bets at any time!

Multipliers allow you to customize your risk and reward if you want to try and make more (and risk more) in a short period of time. The cool thing about multipliers is that your downside is capped at the value of your initial bet and you have unlimited upside on Long Multipliers.

With a brief two week hiatus from any football, I am going to turn my attention to three Long bets that I want to make before we turn our attention back to the Super Bowl later this week.

Long: Anthony Richardson, $15.53 (2x Multiplier)

Richardson is consistently being mocked as a mid-first round pick or better, but his current stock price on Mojo ($15.53) implies second-round capital like Geno Smith (rookie price $15.75, draft pick 39), Drew Lock ($15.41, pick 42), or Colin Kaepernick ($16.28, pick 36)., which compiles dozens of mock drafts to calculate a prospect's average draft position, currently has Richardson as the 13th overall pick. That is much closer to Deshaun Watson ($25.29, pick 12) or Dwayne Haskins ($24.07, pick 15) despite much less college production. Richardson could see his stock increase 40%-60% over the next three months if he winds up drafted that high.

The Mock Draft Database also has Hendon Hooker as a projected third-rounder despite his $15 share price having the same 2nd round implications as Richardson’s. If he is a third round pick, then his price will probably fall to around $6-$7 such as Malik Willis ($7.01) or Desmond Ridder ($5.64). However, we cannot short college players until after they are drafted so he is just someone to keep an eye on for now.

Long: Jakobi Meyers, $7.60 (3x Multiplier)

Meyers has been habitually underrated his entire career. He’s maintained an elite 22%-24% target share over each of the last three years acting as the Patriots’ defacto alpha. He also finds himself as an impending free agent in a free-agent group nearly completely devoid of talent apart from him.

Meyers’ $7.60 share price is similar to role players such as Van Jefferson and Marquez Valdes-Scantling despite Meyers’ proven track record as a target earner and WR1. At the very worst, I think his stock should be around in the range of Curtis Samuel ($10.59) or Devante Parker ($10.20) with room to grow near Tyler Boyd ($12.78) or Mike Williams ($13.48).

Long: Diontae Johnson $11.42 (5x Multiplier)

Johnson used 2022 to perfectly convey the true meaning of Murphy’s law (anything that can go wrong, will go wrong). Despite being seventh in targets and 15th in air yards, Johnson took a massive step back statistically. He set new lows in receptions and yards since his rookie season and scored an unfathomable zero touchdowns.

However, Johnson’s talent is still obvious. He remains a top route runner in the NFL with target shares of 23% (left multiple games early and had a target per route run of 27%), 29%, and 27% over the last 3 years. 

Yet, the market thinks he will only play about 50 more games at his average career production. That’s basically three seasons. I think that is a very low estimation and that his stock should rebound next season (because it certainly can’t get much worse).

Prices are current as of 2/6/2023 at 11:00 AM
Akash Patel is a contributing writer on Mojo. All trades you make are with Mojo, which sets the lines as the “house”. Recommendations are for entertainment purposes only. Please use your own judgment and data to make trades. 21+. Must be in NJ to trade. Gambling Problem? 1-800-GAMBLER
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