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Rookie Report: Week 5
Rookie Report: Week 5

Photo by Rich Schultz/Getty Images

Published
10/10/2022
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Updated
October 7, 2022

Breece Hall RB, Jets 

Coming into the season, many viewed Hall as the best running back in his draft class. In his career at Iowa State, the 6-foot-1, 220-pound back racked up 4,675 total yards and 56 touchdowns. Yes, 56. To add context, he rushed for at least 1,472 yards while scoring at least 20 rushing touchdowns in each of his final two collegiate campaigns. In other words, Hall has been one of the best running backs in college football for some time, and now he has the opportunity to show the world that he’s one of the best backs in the National Football League. 

The Jets took Hall 36th overall in the 2022 NFL Draft, and through four career games, he’s rushed for 178 yards on 38 carries. He’s also caught 15 of his 27 targets for 113 yards. When you turn on the tape, Hall’s size immediately stands out; there are no concerns surrounding his ability to be a workhorse at the highest level. Additionally, he’s a very patient, intelligent, and gifted runner who has the makings of a future star back. When it’s all said and done, I believe that he will be the most productive running back to ever play for the Jets.

As of today, Hall has already accumulated $0.44 in Mojo Value, and the Mojo market predicts that he’ll gain $10.25 more by the time he retires. Most of the elite running backs in the league have a share price in the $15-21 range, and it’s only a matter of time before he joins them. Go Long on Breece Hall before it’s too late. 

Kyle Phillips WR, Titans 

He’s not the most imposing player by any means, and he surely has his flaws, but I believe that Kyle Phillips will be one of the highest gainers in Mojo Value over the next few years. His share price currently sits at $1.85, and that’s just far too low.  

The 5-foot-11, 191-pound wideout had a very serviceable career at UCLA. He never had a standout campaign, but he always made the most of his opportunities. The Titans drafted him in the fifth round of the 2022 NFL Draft, and in his first career game, he caught six of his nine targets for 66 yards. A shoulder issue has limited his opportunities since then, but it’s not hard to see why Tannehill looked his way nine times in his NFL debut.

The shifty 23-year-old is a superb route runner. His body control is evident on tape, he knows how to attack zone defenses while also strategically beating defenders one-on-one, and as a whole, he has the tools to be one of the more consistent slot receivers in the NFL. He won’t be much of a threat on the outside, but that shouldn’t stop him from racking up targets on short and intermediate passes. As long as he plays for a team that has other viable pass-catchers, as well as a competent quarterback, Phillips should have a clear path to producing as an underneath option. As of today, the young wideout is easily one of the best values in the Mojo market – act accordingly. 

Christian Watson WR, Packers 

Christian Watson is arguably the most polarizing wide receiver in the 2022 rookie class. He has enough size (6-foot-5, 208-pounds), speed (4.36-second 40-yard dash), and overall athletic ability to be a dynamic weapon in an NFL offense. He put the football world on notice after dominating the NFL combine, and the Packers liked him enough to take him 34th overall in the 2022 NFL Draft. 

However, the North Dakota State product is far from perfect. He struggled with drops in his collegiate career, and we saw that issue firsthand in the Packers’ Week 1 loss to the Vikings. About six minutes into the game, Watson used his home-run speed to cruise past the Vikings’ defense. Unsurprisingly, Aaron Rodgers delivered a perfect ball to him, but because he took his eyes off the ball at the last second, the ball slipped through his hands. If he had caught it, folks everywhere would be calling Watson the “next big thing”. But alas, he did not, and now some are wondering if Watson lacks the fundamentals to be a legit threat in the NFL. 

On top of his issue with drops, the 23-year-old doesn’t have a deep route tree, and isn’t the most polished route runner. It’ll take some time for him to learn how to succeed at the highest level – which raises a very important question: will he ever reach his full potential? Things like concentration drops can quickly put a wide receiver out of favor with a team, so he absolutely needs to improve that aspect of his game sooner rather than later. And while you can always improve your route running to a certain degree, there’s no guarantee that Watson will make the necessary improvements. 

All in all, Watson is a truly gifted athlete who has a tantalizing ceiling, but there’s a real chance that he never realizes his full potential. With that being said, I’m all for going Short here. His Share Price currently sits at $7.12, and the chances of him coming up short of that mark are high. There’s reason to go Long here, as Watson possesses some exciting tools, but it’s hard to confidently bet on a player who’s still learning the fundamentals of his position while playing in the NFL. 

Prices are current as of 10/07/22 at 07:00 pm EST
Micah Henry is a Contributing Writer on Mojo. All trades you make are with Mojo, which sets the lines as the “house”. Recommendations are for entertainment purposes only. Please use your own judgment and data to make trades. 21+. Must be in NJ to trade. Gambling Problem? 1-800-GAMBLER
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