If I had a million dollars to invest in Mojo stocks, I would want stable assets that I believe will continue to grow. My portfolio won’t have as much upside since they would be proven commodities, but I believe every one of these players can provide a nice ROI.
I would also sprinkle in some more volatile players who, if they hit, give me a chance for massive returns. This group of players would be mostly rookies and promising pre-breakout sophomores.
All share prices are current as of September 16, 2022.
Justin Herbert has been nothing short of historic in his first couple seasons in the league.
Here is where he ranks all-time through two years in the league:
And he’s also 10th all-time in the important efficiency metric ANY/A.
Other players on that list include:
He’s in a perfect situation.
His offensive line is outstanding; it ranked top five in sack rate allowed last year. Although they lost tackle Bryan Bulaga by releasing him, the Chargers drafted Zion Johnson in the first round.
The massive offseason additions of defensive superstars Khalil Mack and JC Jackson bring up the entire ceiling of the team to a legitimate Super Bowl contender, which is important because Playoff stats count on Mojo, and there’s a 5x bonus for Mojo Value banked from the team who wins the Super Bowl.
Tied to great weapons and now a great defense, deep playoff runs are in the cards for Herbert to accumulate more Mojo Value on a yearly basis.
He’s a safe proven young commodity with added upside if he continues to exceed expectations over a longer period of time.
Joe Burrow made it to the Super Bowl in only his second season. Remember, on Mojo you get five times a player's Mojo Value for the Super Bowl game if they win.
Burrow is tied to elite young wide receivers, Tee Higgins and Ja’Marr Chase, which gives Burrow the opportunity to put up massive numbers long-term. Just last year Burrow led all quarterbacks in yards per attempt.
Over Burrow’s last six regular season games he has thrown for over 300 yards in five of those games and is averaging 352.3 passing yards per game in that span.
Even if it’s unsustainable, it shows the upside of this offense.
Chase should be even better entering his second year.
If you follow basketball, I’m getting pre-2015 Golden State Warriors vibes from the Bengals right now with a young up-and-coming dominant offense.
Burrow offers the unique upside to make a deep playoff run every year coupled with elite statistical seasons as a passer that should allow him to have a very long and productive career in the NFL.
Pitts was taken 4th overall in the 2021 NFL Draft and was hailed as a “generational” TE prospect. All he did was become the first tight end in the modern era to rack up 1,000 yards as a rookie — not only living up to the hype, but raising the bar even higher on those expectations.
Pitts had a 21.1% target per route run as a rookie and also sported an impressive 2.02 yards per route. In fact, he was one of only 12 qualified players to have a yards per route run higher than 2.0 last season.
Here’s a list of rookie WRs/TEs who’ve achieved that feat in their rookie season over the past five seasons:
I previously wrote an article in which I found a perfect hit rate for finding superstar wide receivers based on their rookie season, and Pitts was the only player in this rookie class to qualify for it. (And the first tight end of any experience to qualify).
The players on this list saw an average increase in production by 21.6% in their 2nd season in the league. That would put Pitts on par for roughly 82 receptions and 1,250 receiving yards this year, assuming health.
It’s clear Pitts is in rare company producing more than legends such as Travis Kelce, Rob Gronkowski and Tony Gonzalez failed to do at such a young age.
Pitts is also still just 21 years old!
It’s too early to say he is on the way to the Hall of Fame, but early indications are trending towards him being that type of player.
There’s plenty of upside here at this price and based on his impressive rookie year looks to be a blue-chip asset.
Patrick Mahomes is the most accomplished statistical quarterback through four seasons in NFL history.
If we look at all QBs through their first 63 career games played here is where Patrick Mahomes ranks ALL-TIME among qualified QBs:
He does have the 2nd highest price on Mojo right now, but I expect him to break statistical records playing in a pass heavy era and electric start to his career.
For reference Tom Brady is priced at $170.97 on Mojo, so there is certainly room to growth!
Treylon Burks is a grown man who checks a lot of boxes as a college prospect.
History has shown us that wide receivers who produce early on in their college career, declare early for the draft, and are first round picks tend to have success at a much higher rate in the NFL.
The fact that Treylon Burks has alpha size and was also clocked in at over 21 MPH in game in college. He was the first player since Julio Jones to weigh over 220 pounds, clock in game time of 21+ MPH and be a first round pick.
Even though he didn’t play as many snaps as we would like in his NFL debut, he saw some very encouraging metrics when we dug deeper.
Burks saw a target on 38% of his routes run and saw 4.29 yards per route run in his first game, and this was with him being utilized downfield with an average depth of target of 19 yards downfield.
I even ranked Treylon Burks as my top overall rookie wide receiver heading into the year.
The fact that Burks is $2.64 cheaper than another rookie in Drake London is why I would prefer him at this price.
Wilson is another incredible prospect that checks a lot of boxes you want to see when evaluating rookies.
Wilson was productive in college, declared early and was drafted 10th overall.
He’s not as big as London or Burks, but he has a very fun skill set that is similar to Calvin Ridley or Stefon Diggs.
He’s a great route runner, but pairs that with an ability to create yards after the catch.
Wilson had encouraging usage in his debut, playing ahead of Braxton Berrios, and only saw seven fewer routes run than starting WR, Corey Davis.
He ran 35 routes and got targeted on eight of them for 52 receiving yards. He’s a versatile piece as he was used all over the formation, seeing 32% of his snaps in the slot.
It’s encouraging that he was targeted on 23% of his routes in his first game. As he plays more and gets more snaps we should expect more production.
It’s only a matter of time before Wilson is a full-time starter, so now would be the time to buy.
Chase had the most accumulated Mojo Value from a rookie ever last year. As of right now he has banked $3.34 Mojo Value.
In just his first year Chase broke the all-time rookie record for receiving yards in a season.
Tied to Joe Burrow and playing alongside Higgins, Chase is on a historical path right now.
Below is how he compares to some of the all-time greats in Mojo Value in their early careers.
Jerry Rice has the highest Mojo Value of all-time retiring with $48.3 Mojo Value.
Jerry Rice has the highest Mojo Value of all-time retiring with $48.3 Mojo Value.
Chase is a stable asset that we know will be elite for the foreseeable future, but also has upside to capitalize on his share price if he were to play into his early thirties, which I believe he will.
For a lot of the similar reasons we like Treylon Burks, we also like Drake London.
He had impressive production in college, declared early and was taken with the eighth overall pick.
He offers alpha size and reminds me of a blend of Tee Higgins and Brandon Marshall as a prospect.
I surveyed 117 top football analysts and Drake London was clearly the top pick as the rookie wide receiver to have the best career according to them.
Then in London’s first game action he was clearly the Falcons top wide receiver running the most routes and tying Kyle Pitts for the lead in targets with seven.
London had 74 yards, but more importantly saw a target on 23% of his routes run and had an impressive 2.47 yards per route run.
This only confirms everything we knew about London as a prospect: He’s likely going to be a star.
Now is the time to get him before his share price reflects some of the best wide receivers in the game.
Lawrence was one of the most sought after quarterback prospects of all-time.
He had a really poor rookie season, but historically he doesn’t actually have bad players that he compares to.
I used stathead to search through the following variables to see what type of players had similar rookie seasons to Trevor Lawrence:
Here were the results:
While Sam Bradford ($36.09 career-ending payout) is the closest comparison, having both Carson Palmer ($80.62 career-ending payout) and Matthew Stafford ($106.61) within his range of outcomes is extremely encouraging.
Under new coaching in Doug Pederson and a plethora of weapons that the Jaguars invested in this offseason, Lawrence is in a much better position this season.
I’m expecting a bounce-back for Lawrence and him to turn into a franchise quarterback of the future for the Jags.
Bell is a fun player with a unique upside.
He was an early declare for the NFL draft with amazing career college production at a young age, traits that I look for in rookies.
He fell to the third round, presumably because of his lack of athleticism, but we’ve seen plenty of examples of non-elite athletes thriving at the wide receiver position.
Keenan Allen is a player with similar traits to Bell as a prospect.
Stylistically he reminds me of a much less athletic Chris Godwin.
Bell is the perfect blend of opportunity and talent at a discounted price. He’s going to be attached to an elite quarterback when Watson comes back off suspension.
It wouldn’t be shocking to see Bell triple his value on Mojo over the next few years.
Doubs is a high variance wide receiver, but that’s exactly what we want added to our portfolio.
He had good, not great, college production and fell to the fourth round in the draft.
But this is where opportunities arise for massive gainers.
Last year Amon-Ra St. Brown was a 4th round pick and is now up 346% on his share price since he entered the league.
Hunter Renfrow is another example of a late round guy who has seen a big spike in value. He is also up 346% since entering the league.
Doubs has got constant praise throughout all of training camp from coaches, players and especially Aaron Rodgers.
In Doubs’ first game he rotated in a four way receiver committee and led all Packers wide receivers in targets per route run with 20%. That was the fifth highest number of any rookie wide receiver in Week 1.
The fact Doubs saw immediate playing time as a day three rookie draft pick is extremely exciting.
Phillips is similar as an “asset class” to Doubs insofar as he was a day three NFL draft pick with modest expectations who I think has a decent chance to develop into a starter.
Phillips doesn’t have the most exciting profile, which is why he fell to the fifth round of the draft. The positives in his profile is that he commanded elite target shares in college.
He looks like a legit slot receiver at the next level, but we’ve seen former day three draft picks like Hunter Renfrow thrive in this role.
He got a ton of training camp hype and saw an impressive Week 1 role.
In fact, Phillips led all rookie wide receivers with a 43% target per route run in Week 1.
This is highly encouraging for his chances of starting long-term alongside Robert Woods and Treylon Burks in the future.
Dalton Kates is a full time employee of Mojo. All trades you make are with Mojo, which sets the lines as the “house”. Recommendations are for entertainment purposes only. Please use your own judgment and data to make trades. 21+. Must be in NJ to trade. Gambling Problem? 1-800-GAMBLER"