David Bell enters a situation where outside of Amari Cooper at wide receiver, it’s a pretty barren depth chart where he can easily move up as the season progresses. Bell was a great prospect coming out but fell in the draft due to athleticism issues.
We’ve constantly seen that athleticism tends to be overrated when it comes to wide receivers and their future production in the league.
Bell dominated ever since he stepped on the field as an 18-year-old freshman at Purdue and continued to dominate afterward. He declared early for the draft (positive indicator) and is still only 21 years old.
Next year he has a chance to be tied to one of the best QBs in the game and be heavily involved in that offense.
As a prospect, he reminds me of a less athletic Chris Godwin stylistically. His production profile coming out is eerily similar to Keenan Allen, who also fell to the third round.
I’m buying right now.
Reports right now aren’t positive with Montgomery. He’s entering his final year of the contract with a regime that didn’t draft him.
This is from Dan Graziano at ESPN, “Don’t be surprised if Khalil Herbert ends this year as the teams starting running back.”
He goes on to mention that “There is skepticism about whether his style fits the offense as well as Herbert’s does.”
It’s not the greatest news for Montgomery as he would have to accumulate roughly four more seasons at his current season-long Mojo Value pace.
Cole Beasley saw 325 targets as the Bills slot receiver over the last three seasons. McKenzie has won that job with a strong camp and should be heavily involved in one of the most prolific offenses in football.
Jacobs has not averaged more than 4.0 Y/C since his rookie season and the front office that made him a first-round pick is gone.
Moreover, Josh McDaniels is the Raiders’ new Head Coach and he’s (in)famous for rotating his running backs. He brought in former Patriots Brandon Bolden, Georgia product Zamir White, and Ameer Abdullah this offseason.
Jacobs has leaned on volume to produce value over the past few years and that volume may be gone this season.
Elijah Moore is the clear WR1 for the New York Jets coming into the 2022 season, but after what we saw last year from Berrios, the door is open for a potential big leap. He was targeted on 27% of his routes run in 2021 which put him in the top 20 of all wide receivers. He knows how to get open and has a reliable role in this offense that seemingly could keep increasing.
Out of every team in the NFL who targeted their running backs the least last season? The Buffalo Bills. This alone is a valid reason to start back-tracking from Devin Singletary, but now there is another threat in the Bills RB room. This off-season Buffalo trying to snag J.D. McKissic and as we know now, this deal fell through. But what door is open for them?! James Cook.
He has the ability to be the pass-catching back that the Bills were so eager to find and in a fast-moving offense, with a mobile quarterback, I think Cook will be the one getting targets that Singletary will never see.
So there, I snuck in another secret buy for you as well considering James Cook is only $6.13. Give up on Singletary and move over to the next stud in the Bills offense.
Ryan Tannehill is flying awfully close to The Trubisky Line (™), which is a level of statistical play that leads to benching. A 25th percentile starting QB season is a little less than $5 Mojo Value, so if you think Willis makes 30 starts or more in his career, which I do, the math says we should go long. This situation reminds me a little of Carson Wentz and Jalen Hurts in 2020; would it surprise anyone if Willis were starting by the end of the season?
Anderson’s contract makes him look relatively safe to play out this contract in Carolina through the end of 2023, but I can’t see him getting to $5.19 future Mojo Value. That would be 4x seasons at his career average from a player who is in steep decline. To say Anderson is no longer efficient is an understatement; he once turned 20 targets into 25 yards last year.
My love for Treylon Burks is widely known on Twitter. The Titans traded away their star WR AJ Brown, and essentially drafted an AJ Brown clone in terms of size, and his ability to make plays off manufactured touches. I’m very bullish on Burks due to his freakish athletic profile, and the way I believe the Titans Offensive Coordinator is going to use Burks in Tennesee in the AJ Brown role.
Unfortunately, I believe that Josh Jacobs’ best years of his career are behind him. With the Raiders declining Jacobs’ 5th-year option and bringing in Josh Mcdaniels who’s notorious for running an RBBC, I’m staying far away from Josh Jacobs.